PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS

December 2020
Vol-6, Issue-6
Paper ID: 13270
ISSN: 2395-4396
Downloads: 64
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Abstract & Details

Research Area
Economics
Keywords
ANN COVID-19 Forecasting
Abstract
In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze daily new COVID-19 cases in Italy. The employed data covers the period 31 January 2020 to 31 October 2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period November 2020 to 30 April 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily new COVID-19 cases in Italy. The results of the study indicate that the projected number of daily new COVID-19 cases will be constant at around 33000 cases per day from November 1, 2020 to 30 April, 2021. Therefore the Italian government must enforce WHO guidelines on prevention and control of COVID-19 in order save lives. However, an effective vaccine if availed early to the majority of people in Italy will lead to a drop in daily new corona virus infections.
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Author Information

# Name Institute / Affiliation
1 Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
2 Thabani NYONI University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
3 Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

How to Cite

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APA Style
NYONI, Dr. Smartson. P., NYONI, Thabani, & CHIHOHO, Tatenda. A. (2020). PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 1528-1541.
MLA Style
NYONI, Dr. Smartson. P., et al. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, pp. 1528-1541.
IEEE Style
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS," International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 1528-1541, 2020.
Vancouver Style
NYONI Dr. Smartson. P., NYONI Thabani, CHIHOHO Tatenda. A.. PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education. 2020;6(6):1528-1541.
Harvard Style
NYONI, Dr. Smartson. P., NYONI, Thabani, & CHIHOHO, Tatenda. A. (2020) 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 1528-1541.
Chicago Style
NYONI, Dr. Smartson. P., Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020): 1528-1541.
Turabian Style
NYONI, Dr. Smartson. P., Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN ITALY USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal of Advance Research and Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020): 1528-1541.

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