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Title: :  PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
PaperId: :  13273
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 6 Issue 6 2020
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-13273
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Thabani NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Abstract

Economics
ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting
Understanding the nature of COVID—19 epidemic in Kuwait is key in order for the government to respond timeously and appropriately to curb the spread of the deadly virus. Many epidemiological Models have been applied especially the famous compartmental models: the SIR and SEIR models. These models are good in the assessment of the transmission rate of the virus, forecasting epidemic peak and final size of the epidemic. However, in this study the artificial neural network is applied because of its good forecast accuracy and reliability of the results. The ANN (12, 12, 1) model with hyperbolic tangent activation function is used and the model evaluation criteria indicate that the model is adequate, stable and suitable for forecasting daily new COVID-19 cases in the State of Kuwait. Our study findings indicate that daily COVID-19 cases will remain high although generally declining. The study recommends that Kuwait should continue enforcing the recommended WHO guidelines on prevention and control of COVID-19 with particular emphasis on regular hand washing with soap, social distancing, wearing face masks, testing &treatment of cases, early isolation and continuous education among communities.

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IJARIIE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 6 Issue 6 2020 Page 1567-1580
MLA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6.6(2020) : 1567-1580.
APA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, & Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020). PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 1567-1580.
Chicago Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020) : 1567-1580.
Oxford Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, p. 1567-1580. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13273.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020) 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 1567-1580IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13273.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 1567-1580, Nov-Dec 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13273.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 6 number 6 ().
Vancouver Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2020 [Cited : ]; 6(6) : 1567-1580. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13273.pdf
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