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Title: :  NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
PaperId: :  13277
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 6 Issue 6 2020
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-13277
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Thabani NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Abstract

Economics
ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting
The tail end of 2019 cannot be forgotten due to the coming-in of the novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China; which has continued to threaten our lives and livelihoods. On 28 February, Nigeria officially confirmed her first case of COVID-19 in Lagos State, an Italian citizen who works in Nigeria, had returned on 25 February from Milan, Italy. Just like any other country affected, Nigeria is scrambling to halt the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, the ANN approach was applied to analyze COVID-19 case volumes in Nigeria. The employed data covers the period 28 February 2020 to 31 October 2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period November 2020 to April 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in Nigeria. The results of the study indicate that daily new COVID-19 cases are likely to fall to zero cases per day somewhere between 25 and 27 November 2020 and onwards, suggesting that Nigeria is now “on top” of the COVID-19 pandemic. There is need for the Nigerian authorities to continue ensuring that preventive and control guidelines are being followed, strictly. This will go a long in avoiding a second wave of COVID-19 infections.

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IJARIIE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 6 Issue 6 2020 Page 1614-1628
MLA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6.6(2020) : 1614-1628.
APA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, & Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020). NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 1614-1628.
Chicago Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020) : 1614-1628.
Oxford Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. 'NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, p. 1614-1628. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/NIGERIA_IS_NOW_ON_TOP_OF_COVID_19__MESSAGE_FROM_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13277.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020) 'NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 1614-1628IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/NIGERIA_IS_NOW_ON_TOP_OF_COVID_19__MESSAGE_FROM_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13277.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 1614-1628, Nov-Dec 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/NIGERIA_IS_NOW_ON_TOP_OF_COVID_19__MESSAGE_FROM_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13277.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 6 number 6 ().
Vancouver Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. NIGERIA IS NOW ON TOP OF COVID-19: MESSAGE FROM ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2020 [Cited : ]; 6(6) : 1614-1628. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/NIGERIA_IS_NOW_ON_TOP_OF_COVID_19__MESSAGE_FROM_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13277.pdf
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