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Title: :  PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK
PaperId: :  13288
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 6 Issue 6 2020
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-13288
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Thabani NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Abstract

Economics
ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting
Understanding the trend of COVID-19 is fundamental for purposes of formulating and implementing appropriate precautionary measures to mitigate the spread of the epidemic. In this study, the ANN approach was applied to analyze daily COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia. The employed data covers the period March 2, 2020 to October 31, 2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period November 2020 to April 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the model used in this study indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily COVID-19 cases in the country. The results of the study imply that the pandemic is likely to reach an equilibrium level of approximately 126 cases per day, sometime around November 29, 2020 and this equilibrium level of case volumes is likely to be experienced for the rest of the out-of-sample period. The government of Saudi Arabia ought to continue to enforce adherence to the World Health Organization (WHO) sanitary rules and guidelines in order to suppress any further increase in the number of cases.

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IJARIIE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 6 Issue 6 2020 Page 1755-1766
MLA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6.6(2020) : 1755-1766.
APA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, & Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020). PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 1755-1766.
Chicago Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020) : 1755-1766.
Oxford Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. 'PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, p. 1755-1766. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_COVID_19_CASES_IN_SAUDI_ARABIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORK_ijariie13288.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020) 'PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 1755-1766IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_COVID_19_CASES_IN_SAUDI_ARABIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORK_ijariie13288.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 1755-1766, Nov-Dec 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_COVID_19_CASES_IN_SAUDI_ARABIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORK_ijariie13288.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 6 number 6 ().
Vancouver Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. PREDICTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN SAUDI ARABIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2020 [Cited : ]; 6(6) : 1755-1766. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_COVID_19_CASES_IN_SAUDI_ARABIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORK_ijariie13288.pdf
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