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Title: :  PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
PaperId: :  13303
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 6 Issue 6 2020
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-13303
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Thabani NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Abstract

Economics
ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting
The first case of COVID-19 in Brazil was first reported on 26February 2020. Understanding the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil is very critical in order to plan and allocate adequate resources for health. In this research article, the ANN approach was applied to analyze daily new COVID-19 cases. The employed data covers the period 26 February 2020 to 31October 2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period November 2020 to April 2021. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the applied model indicate that the model is stable in forecasting daily new COVID-19 cases in Brazil. The results of the study indicate that the pandemic may not go away anytime soon in Brazil: daily cases will remain very high over the out-of-sample period. Relevant authorities in the country ought to continue implementing control and preventive measures as outlined by WHO.

Citations

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IJARIIE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 6 Issue 6 2020 Page 1950-1963
MLA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6.6(2020) : 1950-1963.
APA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, & Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020). PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 1950-1963.
Chicago Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020) : 1950-1963.
Oxford Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, p. 1950-1963. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_CASES_OF_COVID_19_IN_BRAZIL_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13303.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020) 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 1950-1963IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_CASES_OF_COVID_19_IN_BRAZIL_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13303.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 1950-1963, Nov-Dec 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_CASES_OF_COVID_19_IN_BRAZIL_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13303.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 6 number 6 ().
Vancouver Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW CASES OF COVID-19 IN BRAZIL USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2020 [Cited : ]; 6(6) : 1950-1963. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_CASES_OF_COVID_19_IN_BRAZIL_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13303.pdf
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