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Title: :  PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
PaperId: :  13308
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 6 Issue 6 2020
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-13308
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Thabani NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Abstract

Economics
ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting
National projections of new COVID-19 infections can be used to plan for effective healthcare responses. The ANN model is applied in this study to forecast daily new corona virus infections using time series data from 6 March 2020 to 31 October 2020 and the out of sample period covers the period November 2020 to April 2021.The residuals and the model evaluation statistics of the applied model indicate that the model is stable and suitable for forecasting daily new COVID-19 cases in Colombia. The results of the study indicate that the projected number of daily new corona virus cases will generally be at an equilibrium point (flattening of the curve) at around 11400 cases per day. The government of Colombia must tighten lockdown restriction early in cities reporting large numbers of daily new COVID-19 infections and should continue to enforce wearing of face masks, physical (social) distancing, hand sanitization and continuous health education among communities.

Citations

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IJARIIE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 6 Issue 6 2020 Page 2016-2028
MLA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6.6(2020) : 2016-2028.
APA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, & Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020). PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 2016-2028.
Chicago Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020) : 2016-2028.
Oxford Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, p. 2016-2028. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_COLOMBIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13308.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020) 'PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 2016-2028IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_COLOMBIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13308.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 2016-2028, Nov-Dec 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_COLOMBIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13308.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 6 number 6 ().
Vancouver Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. PREDICTION OF DAILY NEW COVID-19 CASES IN COLOMBIA USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2020 [Cited : ]; 6(6) : 2016-2028. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/PREDICTION_OF_DAILY_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_COLOMBIA_USING_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13308.pdf
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