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Title: :  FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
PaperId: :  13315
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 6 Issue 6 2020
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-13315
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Dr. Smartson. P. NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Thabani NYONIUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
Tatenda. A. CHIHOHOUniversity of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe

Abstract

Economics
ANN, COVID-19, Forecasting
There is no doubt; the global pandemic of COVID-19 has resulted in a surge in COVID-19 forecasting and control models. In this research article, the ANN methodology was applied to investigate the trends of confirmed daily COVID-19 cases in France. The employed data covers the period January 24, 2020 to October 31, 2020 and the out-of-sample period ranges over the period November 2020 to April 2020. The residuals and forecast evaluation criteria (Error, MSE and MAE) of the employed model reveal that the model is stable in forecasting COVID-19 cases in France. The results of the study basically indicate that daily COVID-19 cases in France will reach an equilibrium level of approximately 131824 cases per day around November 26, 2020 and this shall persist throughout the rest of the out-of-sample period. Nonetheless, the government of France ought to ensure the continued compliance to control and preventive COVID-19 measures such as social distancing, quarantine, isolation, face-mask wearing and so on.

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IJARIIE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 6 Issue 6 2020 Page 2106-2119
MLA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6.6(2020) : 2106-2119.
APA Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, & Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020). FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), 2106-2119.
Chicago Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 6, no. 6 (2020) : 2106-2119.
Oxford Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. 'FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, 2020, p. 2106-2119. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/FORECASTING_COVID_19_CASES_IN_FRANCE__AN_APPLICATION_OF_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13315.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. (2020) 'FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 6(6), pp. 2106-2119IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/FORECASTING_COVID_19_CASES_IN_FRANCE__AN_APPLICATION_OF_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13315.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO, "FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 6, no. 6, pp. 2106-2119, Nov-Dec 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/FORECASTING_COVID_19_CASES_IN_FRANCE__AN_APPLICATION_OF_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13315.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. "FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 6 number 6 ().
Vancouver Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, and Tatenda. A. CHIHOHO. FORECASTING COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE: AN APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2020 [Cited : ]; 6(6) : 2106-2119. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/FORECASTING_COVID_19_CASES_IN_FRANCE__AN_APPLICATION_OF_ARTIFICIAL_NEURAL_NETWORKS_ijariie13315.pdf
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