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Title: :  TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
PaperId: :  15895
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 8 Issue 1 2022
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-15895
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Neneng SunengsihUniversitas Padjadjaran
I Gede Nyoman Mindra JayaUniversitas Padjadjaran

Abstract

Spatial, Bayesian, Statistics
COVID-19, USA, XGBOOTS, SARIMA
United States of America is one of the countries in the world with the highest number of COVID-19 incidences. After two years of the pandemic, COVID-19 infections in USA remain uncontrolled. Due to the omicron variant's rapid transmission, the daily number of cases in America has become more out of control. The vaccine program has failed to protect America from the highest daily rate of infection in the world. The purpose of this study was to forecast the daily incidence of COVID-19 from January to March 2022. We used a machine learning method called extreme gradient boosting (XGBOOT), as well as a more traditional approach called seasonal autoregressive moving average (ARIMA). Both models estimate that the daily number of cases in America will continue to rise until March. According to model comparisons, the XGBOOTS model outperforms the SARIMA model in terms of forecasting performance.

Citations

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IJARIIE Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 8 Issue 1 2022 Page 328-333
MLA Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 8.1(2022) : 328-333.
APA Neneng Sunengsih, & I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. (2022). TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 8(1), 328-333.
Chicago Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 8, no. 1 (2022) : 328-333.
Oxford Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. 'TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 8, no. 1, 2022, p. 328-333. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/TWO_YEARS_AFTER_THE_PANDEMIC__FORECASTING_THE_NUMBER_OF_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_THE_UNITED_STATES_OF_AMERICA_ijariie15895.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. (2022) 'TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 8(1), pp. 328-333IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/TWO_YEARS_AFTER_THE_PANDEMIC__FORECASTING_THE_NUMBER_OF_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_THE_UNITED_STATES_OF_AMERICA_ijariie15895.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya, "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 328-333, Jan-Feb 2022. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/TWO_YEARS_AFTER_THE_PANDEMIC__FORECASTING_THE_NUMBER_OF_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_THE_UNITED_STATES_OF_AMERICA_ijariie15895.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. "TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 8 number 1 ().
Vancouver Neneng Sunengsih, and I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya. TWO YEARS AFTER THE PANDEMIC, FORECASTING THE NUMBER OF NEW COVID-19 CASES IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2022 [Cited : ]; 8(1) : 328-333. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/TWO_YEARS_AFTER_THE_PANDEMIC__FORECASTING_THE_NUMBER_OF_NEW_COVID_19_CASES_IN_THE_UNITED_STATES_OF_AMERICA_ijariie15895.pdf
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