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Title: :  Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models
PaperId: :  25480
Published in:   International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education
Publisher:   IJARIIE
e-ISSN:   2395-4396
Volume/Issue:    Volume 10 Issue 6 2024
DUI:    16.0415/IJARIIE-25480
Licence: :   IJARIIE is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Author NameAuthor Institute
Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogaoCollege of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
Reederie Karl H. RallosCollege of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
Kit Clark D. NobCollege of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
Florence Jean B. TalironganCollege of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines
Roseclaremath A. CaroroCollege of Computer Studies, Misamis University, Ozamiz City, 7200, Philippines

Abstract

Arts, Social Sciences, and Humanities
Statistical modeling, trend analysis, ARIMA model, human rights data, Commission on Human Rights, regional disparities, forecasting, Philippines, social intervention
This study examined trends and forecasts human rights violations in the Philippines from 2017 to 2022, using data from the Commission on Human Rights. We use the Linear Regression and ARIMA model to see its correlation with trends related to human rights violation cases and predict the upcoming cases. Varying regions in the Philippines display patterns of violation significantly differently, with peaks that emerged in 2019 in regions across NCR, Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and Davao. Based on the ARIMA model, it was seen that for the CHR Investigation Office and NCR, it slowly increased to stabilize during later years; for regions such as Cagayan Valley and Ilocos, a fluctuating trend occurred and declined in certain periods. Conclusion: An integrated statistical model like ARIMA may further refine the anticipation of human rights violations and target interventions based on such predictive models. It supports the strategic fight for human rights in the Philippines while highlighting the role played by computational analysis in social advocacy.

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IJARIIE Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models" International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education Volume 10 Issue 6 2024 Page 1561-1571
MLA Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 10.6(2024) : 1561-1571.
APA Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, & Roseclaremath A. Caroro. (2024). Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 10(6), 1561-1571.
Chicago Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education 10, no. 6 (2024) : 1561-1571.
Oxford Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. 'Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 10, no. 6, 2024, p. 1561-1571. Available from IJARIIE, https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/Unveiling_Trends_in_Human_Rights_Violations__A_Predictive_Pattern_with_Linear_Regression_and_ARIMA_Models_ijariie25480.pdf (Accessed : ).
Harvard Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. (2024) 'Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models', International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, 10(6), pp. 1561-1571IJARIIE [Online]. Available at: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/Unveiling_Trends_in_Human_Rights_Violations__A_Predictive_Pattern_with_Linear_Regression_and_ARIMA_Models_ijariie25480.pdf (Accessed : )
IEEE Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro, "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models," International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education, vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 1561-1571, Nov-Dec 2024. [Online]. Available: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/Unveiling_Trends_in_Human_Rights_Violations__A_Predictive_Pattern_with_Linear_Regression_and_ARIMA_Models_ijariie25480.pdf [Accessed : ].
Turabian Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. "Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models." International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Online]. volume 10 number 6 ().
Vancouver Mark Anthony A. Ogao-ogao, Reederie Karl H. Rallos, Kit Clark D. Nob, Florence Jean B. Talirongan, and Roseclaremath A. Caroro. Unveiling Trends in Human Rights Violations: A Predictive Pattern with Linear Regression and ARIMA Models. International Journal Of Advance Research And Innovative Ideas In Education [Internet]. 2024 [Cited : ]; 10(6) : 1561-1571. Available from: https://ijariie.com/AdminUploadPdf/Unveiling_Trends_in_Human_Rights_Violations__A_Predictive_Pattern_with_Linear_Regression_and_ARIMA_Models_ijariie25480.pdf
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